Chapter One
A National Policy
of Growth
Through DebtIf you were born after 1950, you don't remember when home
mortgages were rare and car loans were for twelve months or less.
Prior to that time the local banker was considered the most conservative
businessman in town. If someone was approved for a loan, it was
generally accepted that he or she was good for the money. The only
regular line of credit most people had was with the local butcher or
grocer, and those loans were based on honesty and dependability.
The Great Depression made a lasting impact on millions of people
who lost a lifetime of earnings in repossessed farms and mortgages.
It also left a lasting impact on lenders, who found themselves in
the position of having to repossess homes and farms that were virtually
worthless to them. The Great Depression forced Americans to
conserve again. Bankers began to make loans only with adequate collateral,
and borrowers were extremely cautious because they realized
the risks.
But after the Second World War, the government found itself
with several million ex-G.I.s who needed homes, jobs, and education.
With the impact of the Great Depression still fresh in their
minds, commercial lenders, such as banks and savings and loans, were
reluctant to extend credit to so many men who had virtually no
credit history. So, as a last resort, the government became the lender.
Congress passed laws allowing the federal government to guarantee
loans made to ex-servicemen, and the G.I. Bill was born. This law allowed
commercial lenders to extend credit for education and housing
to millions of wartime veterans, and it provided government
guarantees to back those loans.
The impact on the economy was immediate and spectacular. Millions
of Americans went off to college, and millions more borrowed
money to build homes and start businesses. The great credit boom of
the twentieth century was off and running. Never before in history
had our government used tax-generated dollars to support private
lending, but the American people supported the idea wholeheartedly
and a new idea was born: consumer credit. Soon the government
programs were expanded to provide government backed loans to
nonveterans through the Federal Housing Administration, the Federal
Farm Loan Administration, the Small Business Administration, and so
on.
With the stimulus of credit feeding the education, housing, and
business sectors, prices went up-the natural outgrowth of the law of
supply and demand. Credit allowed more people to compete for the
available products and services, which in turn allowed prices to
increase. Once the cycle began, others were forced to borrow to
compete for those items, and private lenders stepped in to provide
the loans. The boom of home loans in the 1950s provided better
housing to young couples at a much earlier age than they ever could
have realized by saving to buy their homes.
But there was a price to be paid, and that price was inflation.
Home prices began to creep up in the late '50s, as more and more
families entered the market through a wide variety of mortgage
options. But as prices climbed, many couples were forced out of the
market because they could not afford the monthly payments. The
bankers, still leaning to the conservative side, applied the 25 percent
rule to housing loans, meaning that no more than 25 percent of the
husband's total monthly income could be dedicated to home mortgage
payments.
The impasse created by that policy led to a slowdown in buying,
not only in the housing industry but also in related industries, such as
appliances, carpeting, and real estate. A parallel predicament was evident
in the automobile industry and in education, both of which had
become heavily dependent on consumers' use of loans to buy their
products and services. The answer came in the form of longer-term
loans. By extending the payment period, lenders enabled people with
relatively low incomes to afford the monthly payments. Another
boom was on.
By the mid-60s the generation of bankers who had been through
the Great Depression was retiring and turning operations over to
younger, more aggressive people who had grown up with the debt-oriented
mentality. The need to expand the credit base meant that
even more loans had to be made available to more people for longer
periods of time.
By the '70s virtually every segment of the economy was dependent
on credit. Even consumer items like food, clothing, medical care,
and travel were dependent on credit through credit cards and small
loans. Lenders extended long-term loans based on equity in assets.
Thus consumers could borrow on the appreciated values of their
homes, stocks, and businesses. But since the equity was dependent on
the availability of loans to subsequent buyers, this created the need for
even more lending. The economy was returning to the pre-Depression
mentality of growth through debt.
In the 1970s the government was no longer just the guarantor of
loans. It was the stimulator of massive debt. The economy had become
totally dependent on consumers' borrowing to keep it going. The traditional
requirements for qualifying borrowers fell by the wayside as
lenders sought wider markets for their loans. No longer was the rule
in mortgage loans 25 percent of the husband's salary. Now it was 40
percent of both incomes. Car loans were extended to sixty months
and often had balloon payments of up to 40 percent at the completion
of the loan period.
By the '80s and '90s, debt had become the engine that fueled the
entire economy, and consumers were forced to borrow even the equity
out of their homes in order to educate their children and purchase
cars. In the '90s, leasing automobiles, previously a practice for
businesses only, almost became a way of life. Is it any wonder that in
the midst of this steamroller of debt financing the average family experienced
financial problems?
It is interesting that the increase in the American divorce rate can
be tracked on a curve that matches the growth of debt in the country.
Does the increase in divorce cause the debt to increase, or is it the
other way around? I believe that the increased incidence of divorce is
a direct result of too much debt. Nearly 80 percent of divorced couples
between the ages of 20 and 30 state that financial problems were
the primary cause of their divorce.
What can a person do to break out of this cycle? How much
credit can an individual or a family handle? These are the fundamental
questions that will be addressed in this book.
My intent is twofold. First, I want to help those who are in debt
develop a plan to manage their finances. Second, I want to convince
anyone that he or she can become debt-free and stay that way, with
the desire, discipline, and time.
I believe that we are headed for a massive economic recession (or
depression), during which the present debt cycle will be reversed.
Regardless of what anyone says to the contrary, we cannot continue
to run our economy on borrowed money. Eventually the debt burden
will become so excessive that even the interest payments cannot
be made.
The government is rapidly approaching that point now. Each year
it borrows the equivalent of the interest due, even during relatively
good economic times.
Consumers and businesses owe nearly $6 trillion in debt, much of
it at floating or variable interest rates. Unfortunately, the rates tend to
rise when the economy turns sour. Those who are caught in the debt
cycle during any major recession quickly discover that "The rich rules
over the poor, and the borrower becomes the lender's slave" (Proverbs 22:7).
Chapter Two
Sliding Toward
a CrisisPaul and Julie were from middle-income families. They grew up in
the suburban area of Chicago and had the normal amount of chores
around the house. Julie's father was a realistic person who kept the
household records and distributed the money. He gave Julie's mother
a housing allowance to manage. He paid all the other bills and gave
Julie a strict allowance. Julie was required to work for a portion of her
clothing and entertainment money.
In Paul's family the distribution of tasks was different. His mother
kept the checkbook and paid the bills. His father never got involved
with family finances, except when he wanted to buy something.
Then he simply wrote a check for the amount he needed. That
caused some terrible fights, since he never bothered to record his
check amounts. Paul could almost always go to his dad and get money
when he needed it. When he did this, Paul's father usually told him
not to tell his mother, because she would have a fit. Paul's father
worked a great deal of overtime on his job and believed that the
money was his to spend as he wished.
Paul held several part-time jobs while he was growing up but
rarely stayed at any for longer than a few weeks. The money he made
was his to spend as he desired. When he was in the twelfth grade, his
father bought him a nice car, and his mother blew up about it because
she hadn't been consulted.
When Paul started college, he was encouraged to apply for student
aid and government loans. By falsifying the credit reports, he
was able to qualify for both. He completed two years of college while
living at home but never really decided on a field of study. He took a
summer job at a large auto assembly plant and received an offer to
stay on permanently, which he accepted.
He and Julie dated for nearly a year after they met in college.
When Paul took his permanent job, he asked Julie to marry him,
with the understanding that she would complete her education in
teaching-a field to which she was very strongly committed.
Neither Paul nor Julie received any detailed instructions from
their parents about marriage. It was assumed that the pastor of Julie's
church would provide the instruction they needed. Indeed, the pastor
did require several hours of counseling on sex, communication, and
spiritual values. Once he asked Paul if he would be able to support a
family, to which Paul replied, "Yes, Sir, I'll be making $13.50 an hour
at the plant. We'll have plenty of money."
Since that was as much as the pastor was making himself (not
counting housing or car allowances), he never pursued the subject
further. So having completed what they thought were the requirements
for marriage, Paul and Julie were married.
Julie reread the notice:
"Dear Mr. and Mrs. Averal, Our records show that your VISA
account is seriously overdue. We have made numerous attempts to
contact you about this matter. This letter is to notify you that
your account has been turned over to our collections department. You
need to clear this account in total to avoid serious
damage to your credit rating.
"Sincerely, "Robert Bowers, Credit Manager"
I don't think I can stand much more of this, Julie thought. I work hard all
day long, and yet there never seems to be enough money anymore. I don't feel
like I can ever go out and buy myself a new dress. And the day care said
they're going to increase Timmy's fees. She remembered the embarrassing
experience in bankruptcy court before the baby was born and the bad
advice Mr. Moore had given them. After all that trouble their financial
problems were no better. She groaned. I wish I were dead.
Julie was convinced that, emotionally, she was at the end of her
rope. She resented having to work and felt guilty about leaving her
son with strangers every day. She felt trapped.
Meanwhile, Paul was trying to cope with feelings of inferiority
and with overwhelming financial pressure. Unfortunately, his method
of coping tended to amplify Julie's anxieties.
"Hey Paul, we're starting the new company bowling league. Are
you interested in joining?"
"No, I guess not. I don't know where we'd get the money right
now," Paul replied dejectedly.
"Ah, what's the matter, Paul? The wife won't let you have enough
to go bowling? Man, I told my wife that I do what I want with my
money, and if she doesn't like it, she can find herself another meal
ticket."
Maybe that's what Julie is thinking about doing, Paul thought, as he
punched out for the day. It seems that all we ever do anymore is fight about
money. I feel awful about our fight last night, but she acted like it's my fault
that she has to work. That's so stupid If she had taken her pills like she was
supposed to, she wouldn't have gotten pregnant and we'd be doing fine.
Women are supposed to know about those things. I can't help it if she can't go
to college now. But Paul knew his marriage was in serious trouble.
As Paul walked to his car in the employee parking lot, his stomach
felt twisted in knots. He thought about going to a doctor, but the
company's insurance plan didn't pay for office visits, and he knew he
and Julie didn't have the money.
Paul got into his car and turned the key. All he heard in response
was a low growl and then a click.
"Oh nuts," he said as he looked around the nearly empty parking
lot. "Now what am I going to do?"
Paul got out of his car and went back into the plant building. He
saw one of the second shift maintenance crew and asked if he would
help him jump start his car.
"Sure, I'll be glad to, Paul," he replied. "But you need to do something
about that old clunker of yours. This is the third time in the last
month it has done this."
I wish I could do something about it, Paul thought as they headed out
the door. But we seem to get further behind every month. I had a better car
when I was in high school than I do now.
In a few minutes they had Paul's car started, and he headed home.
"Boy, Julie's going to be mad again," Paul said out loud. "This is the
second time I've been late this week." Then he thought, It seems like
she's always mad these days. I work as hard as I can, and she keeps nagging
about how she always has to do without things. I wonder what she thinks I
do?
As Paul was driving by the Simmon's Auto Sales lot, he saw a sign
that read, "Why put up with that old car? We'll put you in a new car
for $222 a month, no previous credit necessary."
Paul thought, I know we can't buy a new car, but it won't hurt to look. I
spend more than that on this old pile of junk now, I'll bet.
An hour later Paul was on his way home, driving a brand new
Plymouth. He had signed the contracts, but the salesman had assured
him that if there was a problem with the car he could trade it back in.
Paul was excited to show it to Julie. He knew they could work the
$295 a month into their budget. It cost more than the advertised
price, but the car was loaded, and he was sure Julie would like it.
Continues.